The controversy over the AB/BA design.



Stephen Senn
University College, London


Abstract: Standard advice in texbooks of medical statistics is that you should analyse the AB/BA cross-over using the two-stage procedure: testing for carry-over first and using first period data only if it is 'found'. Standard advice is wrong. No medical statistician would accept a physician's claim that screening for a disease is obviously beneficial. (S)He would ask after senitivity, specificity, prevalence and losses first. Testing for carry-over is a form of screening. When understood in these terms the two-stage procedure is seen to be nonsense. It is concluded that adequate washout is the only defence against carry-over.