Technical Project 1 in financial risk 2014/15

Found here

Technical Project 2 in financial risk 2014/15

Found here

Extreme value programs

An uptodate review of software for extreme valuel statisitics is provided by the Extremes paper "A software review for extreme value analysis" by Eric Gilleland, Mathieu Ribatet, andAlec G. Stephenson. It can be viewed here. There are many R-courses available on the internet.

Links to some financial time series

Many financial time series can be found at the federal reserve releases page and at YAHOO! Finance.

R

Install R and the evd package in windows:

Go to http://www.r-project.org/, click "download R" and choose your preferred mirror (e.g., http://ftp.sunet.se/pub/lang/CRAN/).

Click "Windows", then "base" and "Download R --version number-- for Windows". After downloading, run the .exe-file to install R.

To get the evd package (or the extRemes package), which contain functions for extreme value statistics, go to the mirror site (e.g., http://ftp.sunet.se/pub/lang/CRAN/). Click "Packages" in the menu to the left, scroll down to find "evd" or "extRemes" in the list of available packages. Click "evd" or "extRemes" and download the Windows binary. It may be a good idea to also download the reference manuals.

To be able to use the evd and extRemes packages, you must install and load it in R. Open R, then click "Install package(s) from local zip files" in the "Packages menu" and select your downloaded zip file. To load the package, type "library(evd)" in the R console (or click "Load package" in the "Packages" menu and select "evd")

Comments  from Anders Sjögren on better user interfaces for R:  I have only used RStudio briefly, but it does indeed seem to be very nifty and makes R programming easier, e.g. by showing the variables in the workspace. It definitely seems like a big improvement compared to vanilla R on the command-line. From the R-studio website, "RStudio is a free and open source integrated development environment for R. You can run it on your desktop (Windows, Mac, or Linux) or even over the web using RStudio Server." (http://www.rstudio.com/ide/): 

There is also a commercial alternative, called Revolution R ( http://www.revolutionanalytics.com/ ), which is free for university use. It is stated to only work on Windows and RedHat Linux (I don't know about our Linux boxes). It has much better support for running statistical analyses on datasets larger than RAM.

Planning meeting

If you want to, your group can midway into the project book time with the teachers for a brief discussion of the project plan. A short written outline of the plan should be handed in at least two days before such a meeting.

Report

The project results should presented in a short report, which should be intended for the eyes of an imaginary risk manager who knows little about VaR and less about statistics. In particular it should contain a popular "Executive summary" and a few carefully selected graphs with well thought out and selfcontained headings.


The project report for Project I should be sent as a pdf-file to mattib 'at' chalmers.se and to mattib.chalmers 'at' analys.urkund.se. The project report for Project II should be sent as a pdf-file to Alexander.Herbertsson 'at' economics.gu.se and to urkund alexander.herbertsson.gu'at'analys.urkund.se. The file names should include the group number, the names of the group members, and the title of the project, abbreviated as much as possible. The front page of the report should include the full title of the project, full names of the group members, and a brief summary of who has done what. Software codes should be pasted into the reports and sent as attachments to mattib 'at' chalmers.se (Project 1 files only) and Alexander.Herbertsson 'at' economics.gu.se (Project 2 files only).
Last modified: Thu May 16 15:59:12 MET DST 2002